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| Beast of the Apocalypse |
Yesterday I journeyed by Long Island Railroad to Queens. I wanted to travel on the 1:46 p.m. train, so I left my apartment on the Upper West Side at 1, knowing that the subway runs regularly at that hour and would get me to Penn Station in plenty of time to buy a ticket and a sandwich to eat on the train. I was in no doubt that the train would leave at 1:46, which it did. I could plan my return trip to Manhattan similarly.
Yet, amid all this regularity, this rationalization of everyday structures of life, why were several people sitting on the dirty floors of the subway begging? Why indeed were the floors of the subway littered with newspapers? Why, with all the public money that is spent on welfare, on helping people to get enough to eat and to have a place to live, why, indeed, do so many people live so “unrationalized”?
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| Bloody signs in the sky, 1531 |
I ask these questions as a way of winding up these posts on climate hysteria. Back in the so-called Little Ice Age, heavy snowfall, avalanches, flooding, not to forget
harvest failure, price increases, disease, and infertility were seen as
signs from God foretelling either the end of the world or divine
retribution for sin. After 1560 every kind of disaster was laid at the
door of witches. The impetus for the persecution of witches came not
from the institutions, but from “below.”
I started these posts on
climate hysteria during the Little Ice Age as a way of situating our
current apocalyptic thinking about climate change. According to Wolfgang
Behringer, whom I have often cited in these posts, the 17th-century
hysteria about climate cooling began to wane with the age of reason.
Make that the Enlightenment. It began to be understood that the
catastrophes resulting from the adverse weather conditions were a
consequence of what we would now call “underdevelopment” and of
ineffective — make that corrupt — political and social institutions that
are still the norm for much of the world. “The public was no longer
prepared to accept sermons about divine retribution, but pointed to the
structural deficits and political omissions that hindered relief
operations after crop failures. Why were the roads so bad that bread
cereals could not be expeditiously imported? Why were the warehouses too
small to supply the poor? … Why had royal officials not made adequate
provision?”
The authorities were forced to act, and did so. In
Holland, for instance, there was an agrarian revolution beginning in the
late 16th century. With the introduction of dyke-based land
reclamation, crop rotation, irrigation, sowing of new varieties of
seeds, famine became a rarer occurrence. This happened after 1709 “in
the space of a single generation.” In Holland, of course, witch hunting
had long been abandoned: “even heretics and Jews had the possibility of a
relatively good life.”
Also occurring in Europe was an
artisanal revolution. Among the many instruments produced and sold in
large quantities were barometers, thermometers, pumps, and prisms.
Newspapers took to recording daily atmospheric pressure readings.
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| Ice skating in Weimar |
The dark winter landscapes of
Pieter Bruegel gave way to friendlier
winter depictions, and winter sports became popular, e.g., ice skating,
of which Goethe was so fond. Of course, the rigors of nature were not
over, and, as I mentioned in
an earlier post, Goethe sought to avoid
visits to the court in Gotha during the winter. Versailles must have
been a fearfully cold place, despite all the glitter and glamour, but
there arose the “Sun King” construct, promising a better future. Not
only Louis XIV but also HRE Leopold I stylized themselves as
“heat-providing central stars.”
Of course, the rise in
bureaucratic structures that facilitated improvements in land use and in
recovery from catastrophe was accompanied by a growth in populations,
which in turn has put pressure on the earth and its resources, as have
the industries that keep people employed, diverted, entertained,
comforted, and so on. These developments, in my opinion, are serious for
our fellow non-human creatures, but I do not believe that they cause
the earth to become warmer or colder. That is a function of processes
beyond our planet. We are simply not that powerful, although
the ideology of progress suggests that we should be able to contain these
processes.
Nowadays, apocalyptic visions come from “above,” from the intellectual classes. Thus, the concept of “eco-sin,” so redolent of the 16th and 17th centuries. As Behringer writes, in earlier times, a sin was an offense against God’s command that deserved to be punished, and it was the task of priests to point out violations of divine law.
Goethe Girl is really sticking her neck out here by quoting Behringer to the effect that civilization was a product of climate warming: “The Neolithic Revolution and the rise of ancient civilizations became possible in periods when it was somewhat warmer than it is today.” If the IPCC’s latest predictions are accurate, those levels will be reached again at some point in the twenty-first century. “Then the Alpine glaciers will melt, but not those of the Antarctic. We will save on heating costs and use less fossil energy. What will become of the deserts? Will they really spread? During the Atlantic period, more water circulated in the atmosphere and the Sahara was fertile.”
So, if the earth is becoming warmer, we must take measures to contain and reduce its effects, just as in the Enlightenment people began to apply “reason” to counteract the effects of extreme cold. It is not a time to reprise the role of Nostradamus.
Picture credit:
Martin Joppen